{"id":8396,"date":"2011-02-14T12:20:52","date_gmt":"2011-02-14T17:20:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/joshualandis.com\/blog\/?p=8396"},"modified":"2011-02-14T12:20:52","modified_gmt":"2011-02-14T17:20:52","slug":"ibrahim-hamidi-political-and-economic-factors-of-syrian-stability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/joshualandis.com\/blog\/ibrahim-hamidi-political-and-economic-factors-of-syrian-stability\/","title":{"rendered":"Ibrahim Hamidi, “Political and Economic Factors of Syrian Stability”"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ibrahim Hamidi in al-Hayat<\/a><\/p>\n

Local elections, new parliamentary elections, as well as party elections under new rules. These are some of the reforms that President Assad is promising Syria.<\/p>\n

President Assad suggested in his WSJ interview<\/a> that Syria was beginning a determined policy of reform. Hamidi outlines in greater detail what the President has in mind. In 2005, during the lead up to the convening of the Regional Baath Party convention, many of these proposals were talked about as if the convention would ratify them. None were.<\/p>\n

Assad explained to the WSJ:<\/p>\n

There are many things that we wanted to do in 2005, which we are planning to do in the year 2012, seven years later! It is not realistic to have a time frame because you are not living in a situation where you can control the events. I just started by saying that every week we have something new. So, you cannot predict what is going to happen next year. Of course, you always put a timetable but you rarely could implement that timetable.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

In 2005, Syria had just pulled out of Lebanon under intense international pressure. The Bush administration was threatening Syria with isolation, hostile UN resolutions, the Hariri investigation, and increased financial and trade sanctions, not to mention the approaching Israeli war on Hizbullah and bombing of the Syrian nuclear plant as well as assassinations of a leading Syrian nuclear administrator, a leading Hizbullah figure, and Hamas operatives in Damascus. Cheney’s office had begun to direct MEPI money to the Syrian opposition; Representatives of the IRI and DNI came to Syria to scout for young activists who might help organize a more effective opposition to Assad that could be used to build domestic pressure. Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Egypt were recruited as the “moderate” Arabs to criticize Assad for his support for Hamas and Iran. They hammered home a sectarian theme in the hope of delegitimizing Syria’s “resistance” to George Bush’s effort in Iraq and Israel’s effort in Gaza and the West Bank. They demonized Syria as the treasonous state that had abandoned “real” Arabs, read Sunnis, in order to join the Shiite Crescent. Shiites in Iraq, Bahrain, Lebanon, not to mention the Syrian regime came under intense military and political pressure from the “moderate” Arab regimes. President Assad had plenty of excuses to batten down the hatches and put off reforms.<\/p>\n

Assad rationalized his delay in reforming the administrative law and more in 2005 during his WSJ interview by arguing that Syrians want stability and growth more than freedom and political reform. He explained:<\/p>\n

So, reform in politics is important but it is not as important and urgent as the people waking every day and they want to eat, to have good health, to send their children to good schools. That is what they want. I want to feel safe in my own country. That is my goal….Actually, we postponed it because of the conflict. We took the decision in 2005 in one of the conferences of our party. At that time the conflict started by France, Britain, the United States and others trying to destabilize Syria. We said: okay, let us forget about it; we have something new. Now, we are very serious in finishing this. The second one is about civil society; we need to improve the civil society. Now, we are finalizing the law of the civil society….<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Hamidi sets out Assad’s reforms to day – Administrative law, banking laws, private education and new universities,\u00a0 new media law,\u00a0 etc. He then explains how municipal elections and new Party elections will set the stage for new parliamentary elections.<\/p>\n

????? ?????? ????????? ????????? ??????<\/div>\n
?????, 12 ?????? 2011<\/div>\n
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??????? ????? *<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

?????? ??????? ????? ?? ???? ?? ???????? ??? ??? ?? ????? ???? ?????? ??????? ????? ???? ???????? ???????? ?? ????? ?????????.<\/p>\n

?????? ???? ??????? ???????? ??????? ???? ???? ???. ?? ???? ???? ?????? ????? ?????? ??? ??????? ??? ??? ????? ???? ?????? ???????? ?????? ?????? ???????? ?????? ?? ????? ???? ???????? ????????? ???????? ??????? ?? ???????. ???? ?????? ?????? ?? ??? ??? ?????? ?? ??? 2003 ???????? ?? ??? ????????? ???????? ????????? ???? ?????? ?? ??????? ????? ????? ???? ????? ???. ??? ??? 2006? ???? ???????? ?????? ???????? ????? ????? ?? ?????? ?? ?????? ?????? ?? ???????? ????????.<\/p>\n

???? ???? ?? ?????? ?? ????? ???????? ???????? ??????? ????? ????? ??? ????? ??????? ????? ???? ????? ?? ?????? ????? ?? ??????? ?? ???????. ???????? ?? ???? ??????? ??????????? ??? ???? ????? ?? ??? ????? ?????? ???????. ????? ?????? ???????? ??? ??? ?????? ????? ????? ??? ?? ????? ???? ??? ???? ?? ????????? ????? ??? ??? ??????? ??? ????? ??? ????? ???? ?????? ???? ?????? ????? ?????? ???????.<\/p>\n

??? ??????? ???? ??? ???????? ?????? ??????? ????????? ???????? ???? ????? ?????? ?????? ???? ????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ????????? ??????. ???? ??? ???? ????? ????? ??? ??? ????????? ????? ??? ????? ?????? ????? ??????? ?? ???????? ??? ???????? ?? ??? ?????? ?????? ??????? ???? ????? ??? \u00ab??? ???? ????\u00bb ?? ??? ???.<\/p>\n

??????? ???? ?????? ????? ????? ??????? ??? ?????. ???? ?????? ??????? ?????? ??? ????? ?? ????????? ???????. ????? ??? ??????? ??? ????? 11 ????? (??????) 2001. ?????????? ?????????? ?? ???? ????? ?????? ?? ?????? ?? ?????? ??????? ??? ????? ????? ?????? ?????? ??????? ???????? ?? ???????. ????? ??? ?????? ????? ??????? ?? ??? 2006 ??? ????? ??? ??? 2008 ??? ???? ???. ???? ???????? ?????????? ????????.<\/p>\n

???? ????????? ??????? ??? ????????? ?????? ??? ?????????. ??????? ???? ???? ????? ?? ???? ???? ???? ???? ???. ?? ??? ???? ???????? ???? ?????: ?????? ?? ??????? ???????. ??? ???? ?? ???? ????? ??????? ??? ??? ??? ????????. ????? ???????? ???????? ?? ??????? ??????? ?????????? ??? ????? ?????? ????? ??? ?? ????????? ????????? ???? ???? ?? ???????? ??? ????? ???? ????? ??????. ???? ?? ??? ????????? ??? ?? ???? ???????? ??? ????? ?????? ?????? ???? ??? ???? ????? ??????? ?????? ???? ?? ????? ?????? ??? ??? ?????? ?? ??????? ??????.<\/p>\n

??? ???? ?? ??? ??????? ????? ??????? ???? ??? ??? ??? ????? ?????? ????? ????? ???? ??? ???? ?????? ???????. ????? ?????? ??? ?? ????????? ???????????? ???????? ??????????? ???????? ?????? ????????? ????????? ?????????? ????????? ???????????? ???? ???? ??? ??? ?? ?????? ??? ????? ???????. ?????? ?? ?????? ??????? ?? ?????? ????????? ?????? ??????? ?????????. ????? ????? ????? ????? ?????? ?? ???????.<\/p>\n

????? ??? ????? ????? ????????? ????: ???????? ??????? ???????? ???? ????? (????????)? ????????? ??? \u00ab?????\u00bb. ????? ?????? ?? ??????? ?????? ????????? ??????? ??????? ????? ?????? ?? ???????? ?????? ????????? ?????????? ??????? ???????? ?? ????? ?????????? ?? ????????? ?????? ????? ?? ???????? ??? ????? ?????. ??? ?? ?? ???????? ??????? ???????? ????? ????? ?????? ????? ?? ???????? ????????. ??? ???? ?? ??? ??????? ??????? ???? ???? ??? ?????? ??? ?? ???? \u00ab?????\u00bb ?? ????????? ??????? ???? ????? ?????????? ???? ????? ?? ?? ????????? ??????? ?????? ???????? ?? ????? ????? ?????? ?? ?????? ??????????. ????? ??? ???? ???? ????? ?????? ????? ?????? ??? ??????? ?????? ??? ????? ????? ???? ??? ???? ???? ??? ??????? ?????? ??? ???????? ??????? ?? ???????? ?? ????? ????????? ???????? ???????.<\/p>\n

??????? ???? ????? ????????? ?????? ???????. ?? ??? ???????? ????? ????? ??????? ?? ??????? ??????? ?? ???? ?????? ???? ????? ??? 5.5 ?? ????? ?? ??????? ???????. ?????? ???? ??????? ?? \u00ab?????? ????? ?????????\u00bb ???? ????? ?????? ?????. ??? ???? ????? ???? ????? ?????? ????????? ???????? ??? ????? ?? ????? ?????? ?????? ??????? ??????? ?? ?????? ?????? ????? ????? ??? ????? ?????? ???????.<\/p>\n

??? ?? ????? ????? ???? ?????? ?? ???????? ????? ?????? \u00ab????? ?????????\u00bb ??????? ?????????? ??? ???? ?? ??????? ???? ??? ??? ?????? ??????? ???? ?????? ??????? ?? ??? ??????? ?? ??????. ??? ?????? ??? ????? ??? ???????? ??? ?????? ???????. ????? ?????? ?????? ??? ?????? ?????? ???????? ??? ????????? ?????????? ???????.<\/p>\n

??? ???????? ???? ??? ?????? ???? ????? ???? ????? ??????? ??????? ???? ??? ????? ????? ??????? ??? ???? ??????? ?? ?????? ??? ????????? ?????????? ???? ????? ?? ?????? ???????? ???? ????? ?????? ?????? ?? ??????? ???????? ???????? ?????????? ??????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ???????? ???? ????? ????? ????????? ?? ??????? ???????.<\/p>\n

?? ???? ???? ?????? ???? ???? ??? ???? 2011 ?2015 ? ?? ???? ?? \u00ab?????? ??? ????????? ???????? ?????? ????????? ?? ???????\u00bb ????????? ????? ????? ????? ??????? ?????? ??????? ??????? \u00ab??? ?????? ????? ????????? ?? ????? ?????? ???????? ????????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ??????? ??? ?????\u00bb? ???? ???? ???? ??????? ?????? ?????????? ??????? ???????.<\/p>\n

????? ??????? ??? ?? 16 ?? ????? ?? ???? ??????? ???? ?????? ?? ?????? ???????. ??? ??? 4400 ????? ???? ????? (??????? ????? ??? 47 ????) ???? ?? ????? ????????? ???? ??? 700 ????? ?? ?????? ????????. ???? ??????? ???? ?? ??????? ??? ??????? ????? ????? ?? 260 ????? ???? ?? ??????? ????? ??????? ??? ???? ?? 404 ?????? ???? ?? ??????? ????? ???????? ??? ???? \u00ab????? ??? ???????\u00bb ?????? \u00ab????? ?????? ???? ??????\u00bb. ????? ??? ??????? ?? \u00ab??????? ?????? ??????? ??????????\u00bb ????? ?? ????? ??????? ?????????? ??????? ????? ?????? ????????. ?????? ?? ?????? 450 ??? ????? ????? ????? ?????? ???? ??? 12 ????? ???? ????? (??? 250 ????? ?????).<\/p>\n

??? ????? ?????? ??? 700 ????? ???? ?????? ??? ????? ?????? ??????????? ??? ???? ??? ???? ?? ??? ?? ??????? ??????? ????? ????? ?? ???? ??????? ?????? ?????? ??????? ???????? ??????? ???? ?? ????? ????? ????? ??????? ????????? ?????? ???????? ????????? ?????? ??????? ?? ????? ?????? ??? ????? ?????.<\/p>\n

?????? ????? ??????? ??????? ????? ????? ??? ????? ????? ?? ????? ?? ??? ????? ??????? ?????? ??? ???? ?????? ?? ??? ??? 22 ????? ????? ???? ????? ?????? ?? 2.4 ??? 2.1 ?? ????? ????? ??????? ??? 6.1 ?? ????? ????? ?? 8.1 ?? ????? ????? 880 ??? ???? ????? ??????? ????? ??? ??????. ?????? ?? ??????? ???????? ??? ?????? ??? ?????? ?????? ??? 40 ?? ????? ????? ?? 28 ?? ????? ??? ????? ?35 ?? ????? ??????.?<\/p>\n

??? * ????? ???? ?? ???? \u00ab??????\u00bb?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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