{"id":3519,"date":"2009-07-01T21:12:54","date_gmt":"2009-07-01T21:12:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/joshualandis.com\/blog\/?p=3519"},"modified":"2009-07-01T21:43:42","modified_gmt":"2009-07-01T21:43:42","slug":"syrian-population-growth-and-unemployment-by-ehsani","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/joshualandis.com\/blog\/syrian-population-growth-and-unemployment-by-ehsani\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;Syrian Population Growth and Unemployment&#8221; by Ehsani"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Syrian population\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 jobs needed\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 jobs needed<\/p>\n<p>If 2.7% growth\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0 If 50%\u00a0 labor partic.\u00a0 \u00a0 If 66%\u00a0 labor participation<\/p>\n<p>2010\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 23,621,000\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 310,500\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 409,860<\/p>\n<p>2015\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 26,986,425\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 354,743\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 468,261<\/p>\n<p>2020\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 30,832,072\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 405,290\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 534,983<\/p>\n<p>2025\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 35,225,319\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 463,040\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 611,212<\/p>\n<p>2030\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 40,244,557\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 529,018\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 698,304<\/p>\n<p>2035\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 45,978,984\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0604,398\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 797,805<\/p>\n<p>2040\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 52,530,506\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 690,518\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 911,484<\/p>\n<p>2045\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 60,015,552\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 788,909\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 1,041,360<\/p>\n<p>2050\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 68,567,138\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 901,321\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a01,189,743<\/p>\n<p>The number of jobs listed in the chart above is the number required to keep Syria&#8217;s unemployment rate from rising above what it is today. In order to actually lower the current unemployment rate double digit economic growth will be needed.<\/p>\n<p>Syria&#8217;s population is supposedly growing around 2.7%. If one assumes that today&#8217;s population is 23 million,<br \/>\nin the year 2015 it will be 26.9mm ; 2020= 30.8 mm ; 2025 = 35.2 mm ; 2030 = 40.2 mm ; 2035 = 46 mm<\/p>\n<p>Since a country like Syria has close to 50% of its population under the age of 18, and a large percentage of women donnot work, the percent seeking employment (the labor force) could be as low as 50% (it is 66% in the USA).<\/p>\n<p>If my 50% labor participation rate is accurate, then Syria needs to create close to 320,000 jobs a year to make sure that the unemployment rate stays the same. By 2035, this number will be 604,000 a year. The reality is that more women are\/will enter the labor force going forward. Those under 18 will also move into the ranks of seeking employment as the population ages a bit from where we are today. Just in case 66% of the population seeks employment (as is the case in the U.S.) the country would need to create 420,000 jobs today and 800,000 jobs in the year 2035. The only solution is for real economic growth to exceed 8-9% ASAP&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;..<\/p>\n<p>The following <a href=\"http:\/\/images.google.com\/imgres?imgurl=http:\/\/www.thomascrampton.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/picture-22.png&amp;imgrefurl=http:\/\/www.thomascrampton.com\/page\/2\/&amp;usg=__IFrp-lRP08EDE6wlLso8o3tlor4=&amp;h=345&amp;w=635&amp;sz=45&amp;hl=en&amp;start=1&amp;um=1&amp;tbnid=UC76okWu-e8XzM:&amp;tbnh=74&amp;tbnw=137&amp;prev=\/images%3Fq%3DSyrian%2Bunemployed%26hl%3Den%26client%3Dfirefox-a%26rls%3Dorg.mozilla:en-US:official%26sa%3DN%26um%3D1\">chart is from the IMF<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/images.google.com\/imgres?imgurl=http:\/\/www.thomascrampton.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/picture-22.png&amp;imgrefurl=http:\/\/www.thomascrampton.com\/page\/2\/&amp;usg=__IFrp-lRP08EDE6wlLso8o3tlor4=&amp;h=345&amp;w=635&amp;sz=45&amp;hl=en&amp;start=1&amp;um=1&amp;tbnid=UC76okWu-e8XzM:&amp;tbnh=74&amp;tbnw=137&amp;prev=\/images%3Fq%3DSyrian%2Bunemployed%26hl%3Den%26client%3Dfirefox-a%26rls%3Dorg.mozilla:en-US:official%26sa%3DN%26um%3D1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.thomascrampton.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/picture-22.png\" alt=\"In Syria, youth comprise 61 percent of the total unemployed population. Of all unemployed Syrians between 15 and 29 years old, 80 percent are interested in public sector jobs while 60 percent are seeking jobs exclusively in the public sector.     * As of 2007, the total unemployment rate in Jordan remained at 13 percent, and youth aged 15 to 29 comprised 73 percent of the unemployed. Between 2001 and 2007, 63 percent of new jobs created in Jordan were filled by foreign workers.      * By 2006, more than 70 percent of first-time job entrants in Egypt found employment in the informal sector. Only 11 percent of Egyptians who find their first jobs in the informal sector are able to secure formal second jobs later.\" width=\"508\" height=\"276\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>* In Syria, youth comprise 61 percent of the total unemployed population. Of all unemployed Syrians between 15 and 29 years old, 80 percent are interested in public sector jobs while 60 percent are seeking jobs exclusively in the public sector.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Syrian population\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 jobs needed\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 jobs needed If 2.7% growth\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0 If 50%\u00a0 labor partic.\u00a0 \u00a0 If 66%\u00a0 labor participation 2010\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 23,621,000\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 310,500\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 409,860 2015\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 26,986,425\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 354,743\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 468,261 2020\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 30,832,072\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 405,290\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 534,983 2025\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 35,225,319\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 463,040\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 611,212 2030\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 40,244,557\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 529,018\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 698,304 2035\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 45,978,984\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0604,398\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 797,805 2040\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 52,530,506\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 690,518\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 911,484 2045\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 60,015,552\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 788,909\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sfsi_plus_gutenberg_text_before_share":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_show_text_before_share":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_icon_type":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_icon_alignemt":"","sfsi_plus_gutenburg_max_per_row":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[4,42],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3519","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-ehsani"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>&quot;Syrian Population Growth and Unemployment&quot; by Ehsani - Syria Comment<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/joshualandis.com\/blog\/syrian-population-growth-and-unemployment-by-ehsani\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"&quot;Syrian Population Growth and Unemployment&quot; by Ehsani - Syria Comment\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Syrian population\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 jobs needed\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 jobs needed If 2.7% growth\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0 If 50%\u00a0 labor partic.\u00a0 \u00a0 If 66%\u00a0 labor participation 2010\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 23,621,000\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 310,500\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 409,860 2015\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 26,986,425\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 354,743\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 468,261 2020\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 30,832,072\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 405,290\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 534,983 2025\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 35,225,319\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 463,040\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 611,212 2030\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 40,244,557\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 529,018\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 698,304 2035\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 45,978,984\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0604,398\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 797,805 2040\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 52,530,506\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 690,518\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 911,484 2045\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 60,015,552\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 788,909\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/joshualandis.com\/blog\/syrian-population-growth-and-unemployment-by-ehsani\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Syria Comment\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2009-07-01T21:12:54+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2009-07-01T21:43:42+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/www.thomascrampton.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/picture-22.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Joshua\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@joshua_landis\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@joshua_landis\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Joshua\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/joshualandis.com\/blog\/syrian-population-growth-and-unemployment-by-ehsani\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/joshualandis.com\/blog\/syrian-population-growth-and-unemployment-by-ehsani\/\",\"name\":\"\\\"Syrian Population Growth and Unemployment\\\" by Ehsani - 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