{"id":11879,"date":"2011-09-07T15:57:16","date_gmt":"2011-09-07T19:57:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/joshualandis.com\/blog\/?p=11879"},"modified":"2011-09-07T20:34:22","modified_gmt":"2011-09-08T00:34:22","slug":"homs-intense-fighting-bakkour-taken-by-gov-roadside-bomb-wounds-11-soldiers-defections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/joshualandis.com\/blog\/homs-intense-fighting-bakkour-taken-by-gov-roadside-bomb-wounds-11-soldiers-defections\/","title":{"rendered":"Homs Intense Fighting; Bakkour Taken by Gov; Roadside Bomb Wounds 11 Soldiers; Defections"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Homs is the scene of intense fighting. One Homsi writes, &#8220;Bullets and explosions heard heavily and simultaneous  attacks on the police station and the political security buildings [are taking place.] Another writes: &#8220;Liberation  forces are assembling around town.&#8221; There have been a growing number of military defections in the Homs and Rastan region, leading some activists to suggest that the cohesion of the military is finally coming unglued, as they had hoped.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 410px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/latimesblogs.latimes.com\/.a\/6a00d8341c630a53ef01543531ed87970c-pi\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"269\" \/><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Death of Aleppine Imam Angers Followers<\/p><\/div>\n<p>A large bomb injured <a href=\"http:\/\/maxwellreyes.com\/2011\/09\/15-people-injured-in-blast-in-southern-syria\/\">15 people in southern Syria<\/a>,  reports the Xinhua news agency. About 11 law-enforcement members and  four civilians were injured Wednesday when an explosive device exploded  in Syria&#8217;s southern town of Naeima, the official SANA news agency  reported. The blast ripped through a military bus carrying  law-enforcement and security members near Daraa.<\/p>\n<p>Adnan Bakkour, Hama&#8217;s Attorney General, has been &#8220;Freed from his Captors by Syrian  Special Forces&#8221;, claims Sana and Syria Steps, government sources.\u00a0 They <a href=\"http:\/\/www.alalam.ir\/ambassadors-italy-tunisia-return-damascus\">report that<\/a> ????? ??? ?? ?????? ?????? ??? ????? ????? ?? ??????? ???? ???? ?????? ?????? ??????. If the opposition has failed to spirit Bakkour out of the country, it will act as a grim warning to other potential defectors who may be thinking of placing their safety in the hands of the opposition forces within the country. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.guardian.co.uk\/world\/2011\/sep\/07\/syria-delays-arab-league-visit\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.guardian.co.uk\/world\/2011\/sep\/07\/syria-delays-arab-league-visit\">The Arab League <\/a>has been asked to delay its visit.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=kR3YLt3ujG4&amp;amp;feature=player_embedded\">This Youtube of demonstrators in Rastan cheering military defectors<\/a> demonstrates the growing problem of the collapse of military moral that the regime faces.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?feature=player_embedded&amp;v=_1HM6KQC8FY\">Five More soldiers defect and announce joining the Free officers<\/a>??????? ?????? ??????? ??? ????? ???????? ?????? ?????? ??????? 3 9 2011<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.guardian.co.uk\/world\/2011\/sep\/07\/violence-syria-horrifying-video-clips\">Explosion of violence in Syria caught in series of horrifying video clips<\/a>, Ian Black, guardian, Wednesday 7 September 2011<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Horrifying film clips were posted on YouTube, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/verify_age?next_url=http%3A\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch%3Fv%3DEBNjVArnvbo%26feature%3Dyoutu.be\">one<\/a> showing a dead or injured man in the central city of Homs apparently being shot by uniformed men. Another <a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=SakBXpwRysc&amp;feature=youtu.be\">showed<\/a> a young man named Abdel-Hadi Mustafa dying after being shot by a sniper. A third <a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=u8vvFcJ9TNA&amp;feature=youtu.be\">recorded<\/a> the death of 15-year-old Zakaria Firzat from al-Rastan on Tuesday. None  of the incidents could be independently authenticated as most foreign  journalists have been banned from Syria. Casualty figures cannot be  easily verified either.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=DHFiywv_1Eo\">A plea from the Free Officers Movement<\/a> To PM of Turkey,<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>May peace be upon you. We are displeased and stunned at receiving the news of the disappearance of our Spokesman Colonel H Harmoush after meeting with a turkish security officer, in one of the Syrian refugees camps in turkey on 29-08-2011.<\/p>\n<p>Such an incident is bound to damage relations between Turkey and Syrian people and to have happened with the full kinowledge of the Turkish authorities. We hereby urge you to clarify the whereabouts, and gurantee the safety of Colonel harmoush!<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=c1PaTxFEYWI\">Here is Adnan Bakkour&#8217;s second video<\/a>, where he says Syrian regime reports that he was coerced are a lie.<br \/>\n31 August 2011<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/latimesblogs.latimes.com\/babylonbeyond\/2011\/09\/syria-aleppo-sunni-cleric.html?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+BabylonBeyond+%28Babylon+%26+Beyond+Blog%29\">SYRIA: Death of popular Sunni cleric stirs unrest in Aleppo<\/a><br \/>\nSeptember 6, 2011 | LATimes<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>The funeral of an outspoken Sunni cleric who died under tight security in a hospital Tuesday interrupted the calm that has largely prevailed in the Syrian commercial center of Aleppo throughout the nation&#8217;s six-month uprising. Plainclothes pro-government security forces attacked mourners, and mourners and activists calling for an end to President Bashar Assad&#8217;s regime.<\/p>\n<p>Videos posted on the Internet showed at least several hundred people joining the funeral procession, chanting &#8220;death but not indignity,&#8221; a slogan of the anti-government protests.<\/p>\n<p>The paid, pro-government militiamen known as &#8220;shabiha&#8221; and the regular government security forces with them beat and detained mourners when the funeral march reached the cemetery, activists said.<\/p>\n<p>Dr. Ibrahim Salkini, 77, the Sunni mufti of Aleppo and dean of theology at Damascus University, died earlier Tuesday after spending several days in the hospital. According to the Union of Aleppo Coordinators, the Aleppo branch of Syria&#8217;s activist network, the Local Coordination Committees, the mufti suffered a heart attack after security forces visited him following what some deemed a defiant Friday sermon by the cleric last week.<\/p>\n<p>According to the Union of Aleppo Coordinators, the family of the sheikh was not allowed to visit him in the hospital and his room was under tight security. Suspicions that the death involved foul play spread quickly Tuesday.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ft.com\/intl\/cms\/s\/0\/33fd178e-d94a-11e0-884e-00144feabdc0.html\">Firebrand `Ar`our risks playing into Assad\u2019s hands<\/a><br \/>\nBy Abigail Fielding-Smith in Beirut in Financial Times&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=O7Z_4h_tA4g&amp;sns=em\">Burhan Ghalioun claims in this video recorded in 2007<\/a> that 90% of Arabs are Islamists and that Islamists are not better than dictators in that they do not tolerate differences.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.reuters.com\/~r\/reuters\/AfricaLibyaNews\/~3\/YYYYSjp5thI\/idAFP6E7GQ01020110906\">France Says EU Pushes New Round of Syria Sanctions<\/a>: Reuters, 2011-09-06<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>PARIS, Sept 6 (Reuters) &#8211; The European Union is working on a new round of sanctions against Syria that would target economic entities, a French foreign ministry spokesman said on Tuesday, days after the bloc imposed its last punitive measure.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>Syrian merchants are stockpiling raw materials and products before things get worse.<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><strong>One friend writes: <\/strong>I just spoke to my dad. He exports tires from turkey to Syria. His Syrian clients called asking him to send as much as he can as they intend to stock up. They fear more trade restrictions soon.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>COMMENTS FROM READERS<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Atassi: <\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>HOMS will be a free city soon. Liberation  forces are assembling around town.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>Kinda Khamasmie in Homs:<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8220;To those who are asking what&#8217;s happening in Homs right now:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Traffic is Almost Paralyzed, all shops are closed including the Pharmacies.<\/li>\n<li>Bullets and explosions heard heavily even at 6 am, and simultaneous attack on the police station and the political security buildings.<\/li>\n<li>Gunmen heavily deployed with Kalashnikovs and RPGs and sounds of jihad are everywhere.<\/li>\n<li>Khalid ibn al-Walid Brigade appear publicly in the streets and give guidance to the people on how to act.<\/li>\n<li>All the banks and private institutions have sent invitations to their employees not to come to work.<\/li>\n<li>Mobile coverage is very bad and electricity is cut off from some places.<\/li>\n<li>Internet is available in all areas.<\/li>\n<li>Currently the army is deployed in some areas of Homs and talking about a quality operation coming in Homs.<\/li>\n<li>Everyone who is carrying Kalashnikov and RPG and calling for Jihad should die, because enough is enough!&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>SANDRO LOEWE said:<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Last week I was in Syria once again. During last 6 months I have been visiting Syria and my parents on a regular basis. I can have<br \/>\nan idea of what is going on through friends and colleagues who explain their experiences and positions.<\/p>\n<p>In Damascus city (bussiness center) many medium to high class people keeps on defending the idea that this regime never will fall and that they are fighting the West and their armed gangs in Syria. But at the same time there is an increasing feeling that bussiness is going to a cathastrophic situation if things do not improve. Anyhow from last 6 months I keep on hearing the same (yet old) story; that last days things are more under control and that in 15 days crisis could be over.<\/p>\n<p>At Damascus suburbs and some in city center medium and low class people I know attack the regime and ask for inmediate change and even death penalty to regime capos.<\/p>\n<p>Outside Damascus, Rif, Homs and Idlib the situation is dramatically going to worse every day. People is absolutely crazy about destroying every single sings and detritus of this regime. But the feeling is generated by killings more than by political ideas in itself.<\/p>\n<p>Even towns that had never seen problems are beginning to dare to express against the regime. There are many many stories about innocent people who refused to cooperate in any way with Security Services men and were arrested sine die. This are 2 last stories I saw and I can personally confirm:<\/p>\n<p>1- My friend\u2019s brother was asked by security services to drive its van to transport security services to arrest activists.<br \/>\nHe denied and told the services that if he was seen cooperating with them he would get killed. Following day he disappeared. Two months later their family received news from the services in Damascus that he was in prison. Notice that this person had no idea nor previous political contacts. He is still in prison.<\/p>\n<p>2- While in a restaurant in Amman a person began shouting like a possessed person in the kitchen. When I asked some one I know in the restaurant he told me he is a Syrian who received word that his brother died one month ago in Idlib. He was serving in the army and their family informed him that security services killed him. Last thing I heard was:<\/p>\n<p>WRITE \u201cMEAL FOR THE ASSADS\u201d AT THE GARBAGE BASKET\u2026<\/p>\n<p>3- Some one living in Rif Dimashq told me \u201cmuasiqeen\u201d began distributing light arms even to young people aged 16-18 years old but asking them not to use by now because it could cause a massacre<\/p>\n<p>Draw your own conclusions.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>NZ Writes:<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Dear Tara, you have asked \u201cWhen is it in your individual opinion justified to defend your country when it is invaded by an enemy?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>It is my personal belief that there is currently a dire need for a professional organized armed resistance.<\/p>\n<p>The goal is to neutralize security forces and shabbeeha and disrupt the lines of communication and logistics to the organized armed forces.<\/p>\n<p>The FOM and the FSA need to consolidate and be given logistical and reconnaissance support. They would be very instrumental in<br \/>\n&#8211;       deterring and disrupting Jr\u2019s killing machine, and thus save lives.<br \/>\n&#8211;        expediting defections and the collapse of the armed forces,<br \/>\n&#8211;       Forming a nucleus for a freedom and people conscious armed forces.<br \/>\n&#8211; averting a real threat of emergence of less controllable form of armed resistance, namely revolutionar militias.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>Some guy in Damascus<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Homsi, there are no armed rebels In Damascus city. Rif dimashq is another story.  Do you think taking up arms is a legitimate action?<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>MNA writes<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Thank you Tara for inviting us to participate.<br \/>\nWhether one agrees or not with your question, it is flawed by false assumptions and statements that even many hard core opposition figures would find objectionable.<\/p>\n<p>First, you are assuming that &#8220;revolutionaries&#8221; have not yet taken up arms against the regime.  Many people would disagree with you.<\/p>\n<p>Second, Equating the national army with the that of an occupying foreign army  is just a prime example of your flawed statements. I know that many of the commentators on here will jump and start siting many examples of the brutality with which the army handled the situation on the ground in Syria, but most of the evidence is nothing more than part of a propaganda war. I m not saying that it did not happen, but it is expected when you send any army or armed forces anywhere?  Can anyone tell me with a straight face that the revolutionaries forces in Libya did not commit atrocities, or in the event of a Libya like scenario in Syria, the &#8220;armed revolutionaries&#8221; would not commit such atrocities?<\/p>\n<p>Let me remind you that this is the army that fought many wars against Israel and gave thousands of martyrs in the line of duty. I know that many of the commentators will jump up again and say &#8220;fought wars and lost&#8221;, but this does not diminish the fact that it is the army that fought against Israel more than any other in the region and gave thousands of martyrs. At least this is how many Syrians still see it.  Let me remind you also that you can hardly find a family in Syria that does not or did not have a son or daughter serving in the army. So your statement might be an insult to millions of Syrians.<\/p>\n<p>Third, your statement &#8221; the regime in the eyes of the Syrian people is the enemy!&#8221; is flawed as well.  Even the worst optimistic views still agree that between the different minorities, the beneficiaries, the elite, etc..this regime still commands at least 40% support.  this is a sizable chunk of the population that would straight out disqualify your statement.<\/p>\n<p>Fourth, you statement &#8220;I will support the decision of the youth on the ground who are sacrificing themselves and their families for us.&#8221; is at best is not shared by many Syrians.  No ONE HAS THE EXCLUSIVE RIGHT TO MAKE SUCH A DECISION.<\/p>\n<p>So to answer your question, the majority of Syrians believe that it is never justified. I still believe that Syria could still benefit from this terrifying experience, but the moment that more people decide to take up arms is the moment that Syria will be lost for ever.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>Muhammad writes:<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>If Alawis want to defend Assad regime at all costs then they are asking for a sectarian war. It\\&#8217;s so sad. Bashar does not even care about the Alawis.<\/p>\n<p>People came out asking for democracy, you called them armed gangs. It soon became a self-fulfilling prophecy.<\/p>\n<p>Give people a third way of genuine reform and they will take it. If the only options available to them are worshiping the village idiot (aka Bashar) or sectarian war then it is no wonder they will take the war option.<\/p>\n<p>And don\\&#8217;t BS us about Alawis and Shias being brothers. Shias considered Alawis as heretics until Assad came to power. I bet you the Alwais would not be allowed to practice their religion on Iran.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>Abboud Wrote:<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>I&#8217;ve stated time and again on this forum that;<\/p>\n<p>1) I will personally turn Hafez&#8217;s grave into a public urinal<\/p>\n<p>2) I believe that soldiers who abuse and kill civilians should be boiled in their own urine.<\/p>\n<p>3) The security men killed at Jisr al Shoghour deserved what they got. I hope to hear of many more such retributions.<\/p>\n<p>4) Alawites have pillaged this country for 40 years, and since they have done nothing to remove this murderous regime, they have failed the test of a modern and pluralistic society, by instead pandering to sectarian hate and allowing themselves to be tools in a barbaric oppression of a people yearning to be free. Therefore, Alawite power must be severely curtailed and their bases of power utterly destroyed.<\/p>\n<p>Feel free to quote me far and wide. I&#8217;d be happy to remind you if you ever forget.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>SS Writes:<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>The regime supporters left this forum [Syria Comment] months ago. When I am board I come over to Syria Comment to write and vent a little bit, also I feel sorry for you as you do not have anyone to keep you busy so I throw a comment like a bone to hungry &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;.<\/p>\n<p>Aboud also is supported by many&#8230;. This is why the Syrian army is chasing the criminal radical thugs who want to wipe out and kill minorities. They want to send Christians to Lebanon. &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Khalid Tlass wrote \u201cAlawis are not Muslims, Christians can sit in the lap of MICHEL AOUN for all I care\u201d. His other fellow reformers instead of attacking him and disagreeing with him, they asked him to cool off and relax. The radicals on SC are well educated and not lay people. They represents the best of the best of the Syrian society and they do not hesitate to threaten minorities, and mass killing them.<\/p>\n<p>Khalid Tlass is a Sunni and a friend of the so called reformers on SC. He wrote:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We will convert the fake shrines of al-Hussein and Ali in Iraq to public toilets.&#8221; This is an example of the hatred Sunni hold to minorities.<\/p>\n<p>He went on to threaten the minorities by stating &#8220;Qurdaha will be Halabja\u2026lets see what your Majoosi Iranian daddies will do.&#8221; Halabja is where Sadam Hussein massacred Kurds and killed them with chemical gases. Khalid Tlass is supported by many on SC and has many of the opposition on SC consider a friend. I think they all share the bloody personality but some of them are calm and will not show it until the gain power in Syria and then they will kill minorities including Christians, Alawi, and druze.<\/p>\n<p>Khalid Tlass is dreaming to reestablish Caliph. Basically he is a radical Sunni who wants an Islamic Imara in the middle east. Look what he wrote &#8220;Sunnis deserve to rule the Middle East; Shia are fake and creations of Abdullah ibn Saba&#8221;&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p>HA, Iran and Alawites will be your masters forever&#8230;.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>NEWS ROUND UP<\/p>\n<p><strong>Opposition Leader asks for International Military Intervention to Solve the Syrian Crisis<\/strong>:  The following article quotes Ashraf Miqdad, Australia based head of the  Damascus Declaration, who says that there is no escape from the  necessity for military intervention.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/all4syria.info\/web\/archives\/26410\">????? ????: ?????? ?????? ?????? ???? ?????? ?????? ?? ?????<\/a><br \/>\n???????: ???? ??????? \u2013 ????? ????? ??????<br \/>\nAll4Syria\u00a0 2011\/09\/06<\/p>\n<p>????  ??????? ?????? ???? ???????? ???? \u00ab????? ????\u00bb ?? ????????? ?? ???????  ?? ?????? ?????? ??????? ?? ????? ???? ??? ?? ???? ???? ????? ?????  ????? ?? ?????? ?????? ????? ??????? ???????? ?? ???? ??? ????? ??  ????????? ?????? ?? ??? ?????? ???? ?? ????? ?????? ???? ????? ???  ?????? ?????? ??????? ????? ?? ?? ????? ????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ??  ????? ???????? ??? ???? ????? ?????? ???? ?????.<br \/>\n????? ???????? ???? ??? ???? ????????? ???????? ?? ??????? ???? ?????  ??????? ??? ???? ????? ?? ?????? ?????? ??? ??????? ??? ?? ??? ??? ?????  ??? ?????? ??? ??? ?????? ??????? ?????? ??????? ?? ????? ???? ????  ???? ?? ???? ?????? ?? ??????? ??? ???? ?? ?????? ??? ?????? ????? ????  ???????? ????? ??? ???? ?????.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=4RHzr_pyj-0&amp;feature=player_embedded\">Saydnaya Prison Massacre Explained via latest Wikileaks<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.thenational.ae\/business\/energy\/gulf-to-help-eu-as-syrian-oil-banned\">Gulf to help EU as Syrian oil banned<\/a>, Sep 4, 2011<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>The Gulf is poised to help Europe to meet its energy needs as a ban on Syrian oil comes into play. Yesterday, the EU formalised an embargo on Syrian oil, increasing pressure on the regime of Bashar Al Assad, the Syrian president, to halt its violent clampdown on protests.<\/p>\n<p>The fresh sanctions come at a particularly tough time for the EU, which relies on Syria for 1.5 per cent of its oil supply, as demand grows for winter fuel and oil production from Libya remains stalled.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.thenational.ae\/thenationalconversation\/industry-insights\/energy\/sanctions-cloud-syrias-big-plans\">Sanctions cloud Syria&#8217;s big plans<\/a>, Sep 4, 2011<br \/>\nThe National<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>The EU&#8217;s ban on oil from Syria has further jeopardised energy projects in the country, where pressure is being put on the Al Assad regime over the violent treatment of political protesters. With foreign investors reluctant to get involved, there is much at stake \u2014 and little time, April Yee reports<\/p>\n<p>Until recently, Syria was not a big presence in energy markets, coming in at number 33 on the list of the world&#8217;s top oil producers.<\/p>\n<p>Yet it hoped to transform itself from a minor crude exporter into a major transit point for the world&#8217;s energy.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>News Analysis: Syria rummages around for other markets after EU<\/strong><br \/>\n2011-09-03, DAMASCUS, Sep 03, 2011 (Xinhua via COMTEX) &#8212; by Hummam Sheikh Ali<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Oil embargo lately slapped by European countries on Syria would inevitably overburden its stagnant economy, but experts believe that the country that has been put into a tight squeeze after nearly six months of unrest is still able to withstand the sanctions and find alternatives.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com\/2011\/09\/07\/syria-is-much-stronger-than-libya\/\">Warning: Syria is much stronger than Libya<\/a>, September 7th, 2011, CNN Blog<br \/>\nBy Shashank Joshi \u2013 Special to CNN<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Syria\u2019s elite units and officer corps are dominated by the Alawi sect, to which the Assad dynasty belongs. They have neither disintegrated nor turned on Assad. In Libya, a very large portion of the army, particularly in the east, melted away at the beginning of the conflict. In Syria, defections are much more sporadic, and that\u2019s despite months of severe violence against unarmed protesters. That means any armed rebellion would face far worse odds of success, and intervention in support of such a rebellion would involve a longer and more serious commitment.<\/p>\n<p>None of this is guaranteed to avert war. If refugee flows reached unacceptable proportions, or a civil war began to seep outside the country, the US might judge that strategic \u2013 rather than simply humanitarian \u2013 interests were at stake. But we should be under no illusions that a war in Syria would look identical to the one being wrapped up in North Africa.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/print\/68162?page=show\">Why Rushing to the Polls Could Reignite Civil War<\/a><br \/>\nDawn Brancati and Jack L. Snyder<br \/>\nSeptember 2, 2011<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>With Libya still in the hands of armed regional and tribal factions &#8212; each challenging the other&#8217;s pretensions to political authority &#8212; it seems wishful to believe that the country will enjoy a smooth and quick transition to stable democracy. Even so, Libya&#8217;s National Transitional Council and the United Nations are already planning for Libya&#8217;s first elections.<br \/>\n&#8230;&#8230;<br \/>\nThe UN memo is right to stress the need for preconditions. Our research on all first elections after civil wars since 1945 underscores the dangers of hasty voting. We found that the sooner a country went to the polls the more likely it was to relapse into war. On average, waiting five years before holding the first election reduced the chance of war by one-third&#8230;..<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.arabamericannews.com\/news\/index.php?mod=article&amp;cat=Lebanon&amp;article=4670\">Tribunal Concealed Evidence Al-Qaeda Cell Killed Hariri<\/a><br \/>\nAnalysis by Gareth Porter*<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><strong>WASHINGTON, Aug 31, 2011 (IPS) &#8211; In focusing entirely on the alleged  links between four Hezbollah activists and the 2005 bombing that killed  Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, the indictment issued by the Special  Tribunal for Lebanon earlier this month has continued the practice of the U.N investigation before it of refusing to  acknowledge the much stronger evidence that an Al-Qaeda cell was  responsible for the assassination.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Several members of an Al-Qaeda cell confessed in 2006 to having carried  out the crime, but later recanted their confessions, claiming they were  tortured.<\/p>\n<p>However, the transcript of one of the interrogations, which was  published by a Beirut newspaper in 2007, shows that the testimony was  being provided without coercion and that it suggested that Al-Qaeda had  indeed ordered the assassination.<\/p>\n<p>But the United Nations International Independent Investigation  Commission (UNIIIC) was determined to pin the crime either on Syria or  its Lebanese ally Hezbollah and refused to pursue the Al-Qaeda angle.<\/p>\n<p>Detlev Mehlis, the first head of UNIIIC, was convinced from the  beginning that Syrian military intelligence and its Lebanese allies had  carried out the bombing and went to extraordinary lengths to link Ahmed  Abu Adas, who had appeared in a videotape claiming responsibility for the assassination for a previously unknown group, to  Syrian intelligence&#8230;..<\/p>\n<p>Hariri Bombing Indictment Based on Flawed Premise<br \/>\nAnalysis by Gareth Porter*<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>WASHINGTON, Aug 29, 2011 (IPS) &#8211; The indictment of four men linked to  Hezbollah in the 2005 assassination of Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik  Hariri made public by the Special Tribunal on Lebanon Aug. 17 is  questionable not because it is based on &#8220;circumstantial evidence&#8221;, but because that evidence is based on a flawed premise.<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>The evidence depends on a convoluted theory involving what the  indictment calls &#8220;co-location&#8221; of personal mobile phones associated with  five distinct networks said to be somehow connected with the plot to  murder Hariri.<\/p>\n<p>The indictment, originally filed Jun. 10, says that, if there are &#8220;many  instances&#8221; in which a phone is &#8220;active at the same location, on the same  date, and within the same time frame as other phones&#8221;, but the phones  do not contact each other, then it is &#8220;reasonable to conclude from these instances that one person is using multiple  phones together&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Based on that assumption the indictment asserts that &#8220;a person can  ultimately be identified by co-location to be the user of a network  phone.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>On that reasoning, one of the four accused, Salim Jamil Ayyash, is said  to have participated in a &#8220;red&#8221; network of phones that was activated on  Jan. 5, 2005, only contacted each other, and ceased operations two  minutes before the blast that killed Hariri. The &#8220;red&#8221; network is presumed to have been used by those who carried out  surveillance as well as prepared the logistics for the bombing.<\/p>\n<p>But Ayyash is also linked by &#8220;co-location&#8221; to a &#8220;green&#8221; network that had  been initiated in October 2004 and ceased to operate one hour before  the attack, and a &#8220;blue&#8221; network that was active between September 2004  and September 2005. The only basis for linking either of those two sets of mobile phones to the assassination appears  to be the claim of frequent &#8220;co-location&#8221; of Ayyash&#8217;s personal cell  phone with one of the phones in those networks and one red phone.<\/p>\n<p>But the idea that &#8220;co-location&#8221; of phones is evidence of a single owner  is a logical fallacy. It ignores the statistical reality that a  multitude of mobile phones would have been frequently co-located with  any given phone carrying out surveillance on Hariri in Beirut over an hour or more on the same day during the weeks before  the assassination.<\/p>\n<p>In the area of Beirut from the parliament to the St. George Hotel, known  as Beirut Central District, where the &#8220;red&#8221; network is said to have  been active in carrying out its surveillance of Hariri, there are 11  base stations for mobile phones, each of which had a range varying from 300 metres to 1,250 metres, according to Riad  Bahsoun, a prominent expert on Lebanon&#8217;s telecom system. Bahsoun  estimates that, within the range of each of those cell towers, between  20,000 and 50,000 cell phones were operating during a typical working day.<\/p>\n<p>Given that number of mobile phones operating within a relatively small  area, a large number of phones would obviously have registered in the  cell tower area and in the same general time frame &#8211; especially if  defined as an hour or more, as appears to be the case &#8211; as at least one of the red network phones on many occasions.<\/p>\n<p>The indictment does not state how many times one of Ayyash&#8217;s personal  phones was allegedly &#8220;co-located&#8221; with a &#8220;red&#8221; network phone.<\/p>\n<p>To prove that Ayyash was in charge of the team using the red phones, the  indictment provides an extraordinarily detailed account of Ayyash&#8217;s  alleged use of red, green and blue phones on seven days during the  period between Jan. 11 and Feb. 14, the day of the assassination.<\/p>\n<p>But according to that information, during the final nine days on which  the red network was active in surveillance of Hariri, including the day  of the bombing itself, Ayyash was in phone contact with the red and blue  networks on only three days \u2013 a pattern that appears inconsistent with the role of coordinating the entire plot  attributed to him&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p>Bernazzani called that use of link analysis by SIDE &#8220;speculative&#8221; \u2013 the  same word that Brammertz used to describe the U.N. investigation&#8217;s  employment of the same tool. Such speculative use of link analysis &#8220;can  be very dangerous&#8221;, Bernazzani said. &#8220;Using that kind of analysis, you could link my telephone to [Osama] bin Laden&#8217;s.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>*Gareth Porter is an investigative historian and journalist specialising  in U.S. national security policy. The paperback edition of his latest  book, &#8220;Perils of Dominance: Imbalance of Power and the Road to War in  Vietnam&#8221;, was published in 2006.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailystar.com.lb\/News\/Politics\/2011\/Sep-06\/148012-russia-to-oppose-any-moves-to-arm-syrian-opposition.ashx#axzz1XARjBC6u\">Russia to oppose any moves to arm Syrian opposition<\/a><br \/>\nBy Antoine Ghattas Saab<br \/>\nSeptember 06, 2011 02:08 AM<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>According to Western diplomats and political observers watching the developments in Syria, the next stage of the international community\u2019s response to events in Damascus will move from supporting the people\u2019s uprising and condemning the oppression of the regime by waving the stick of economic and financial sanctions \u2013 including the travel ban on political officials who have been blacklisted \u2013 to arming the Syrian opposition, similar to what was done in Libya.<\/p>\n<p>There, rebels were able to take control of the country, including areas that were subject to Col. Moammar Gadhafi\u2019s rule, and assume power gradually through the National Transitional Council which is now recognized by the international community, as was demonstrated by last week\u2019s conference in Paris.<\/p>\n<p>The U.S., France and Britain will participate in strengthening the military side of the opposition in Syria to create a balance with the security apparatus controlled by President Bashar Assad and his regime. It\u2019s likely that Turkey will spearhead the operation to arm the opposition given the overlap of political, geographic and demographic factors between it and Damascus, which have led Ankara, more than once, to show its discontent with the Syrian regime\u2019s elusive promises of reform.<\/p>\n<p>However, diplomatic sources expect that this course would face the objection of Russia, which has previously rejected draft resolutions against Syria by using its veto in the U.N. Security Council and opposing the Western community by dealing unilaterally with Syria.<\/p>\n<p>The sources explain the reasons behind Russia\u2019s rejection of the West\u2019s evolving response and their opposition to the consensus of the international community on the battle between the Syrian regime and the opposition:<\/p>\n<p>First, the Russians have decided not to fall again for the trick they encountered when NATO failed to uphold its commitment to Resolution 1973 \u2013 which limited the mission in Libya to a narrow framework of protecting civilians from aerial bombardments by Libyan forces \u2013 by expanding their mission to strike Gadhafi\u2019s positions and supporting rebels\u2019 military operations.<\/p>\n<p>These sources also speak of the struggle over the Middle East in which geo-strategic weapons \u2013 from oil to expanding political influence to strengthening military bases \u2013 are used and such actions would advance any country\u2019s position internationally. Russia has a military base in the city of Tartus which it will never give up and is protected by Assad\u2019s regime. If the opposition backed by the West takes power, it will constitute a real threat to the base.<\/p>\n<p>The sources also say that it seems that the United States-Russian struggle is the dynamo that is driving the regional and international initiatives on Syria, especially as Washington attempts to compensate for its declining influence in Iraq and Afghanistan by riding the wave of change in the Arab world.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.todayszaman.com\/news-255887-turkish-opposition-in-syria-we-are-not-here-to-decry-syrian-regime.html\">Turkish opposition in Syria: We are not here to decry Syrian regime<\/a><br \/>\n05 September 2011, Monday \/ TODAYSZAMAN.COM,<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Deputy chairman Faruk Lo?o?lu, who is heading a committee of deputies from the main opposition Republican People\u2019s Party (CHP) has said the opposition is not in Syria to decry the Syrian regime but to investigate matters closely.<\/p>\n<p>Stressing the brotherhood between Turkey and Syria, Lo?o?lu said they traveled several regions in Syria accompanied by local administrators and officials, and that they will present their findings as a report to CHP leader Kemal K?l?\u00e7daro?lu.<\/p>\n<p>Lo?o?lu also noted that the committee met with Syrian President Bashar Al Assad and Parliament speaker Mahmoud Al Abrash in Damascus.<\/p>\n<p>Before going to Mediterreanian city of Latakia, five CHP deputies visited the Yaylada?? district of the southern province of Hatay in Turkey along the Syrian border on Sunday to meet with Syrian refugees who had fled the violence in their country. Hatay deputy governor Akg\u00fcn Corav and Yaylada?? district governor Tolga Polat briefed the investigative team on the situation in the refugee tent camp.<\/p>\n<p>Lo?o?lu then told reporters at the camp that they came to Yaylada?? to help prepare them for their visit to Syria. \u201cWe want to witness events in Syria on the ground,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>In Damascus, Abrash and Lo?o?lu reviewed in the meeting the current events in Syria, the foreign interference, incitement campaigns to undermine Syria&#8217;s role and destabilize its security, Syria\u2019s state-run Sana news agency, which often distorts facts related to the incidents in the country, reported on Monday.<\/p>\n<p>According to Sana, Abrash stressed that the reform process will continue in order to build a strong Syria, adding that the awareness of the Syrian people will foil all attempts of weakening their national unity.<\/p>\n<p>Lo?o?lu said the CHP considers Syria&#8217;s stability and security to be important to Turkey and that Syria&#8217;s freedom, independence, sovereignty and unity are essential to CHP&#8217;s principles.<\/p>\n<p>CHP\u2019s deputy chairman reportedly stressed the CHP\u2019s rejection of any interference in Syria&#8217;s internal affairs, adding that the Syrians are able to solve this problem.<\/p>\n<p>The report also said that Lo?o?lu visited Homs and Hama and briefed by local officials.<\/p>\n<p>Lo?o?lu reportedly stressed his support to Syria and the reform steps taken by the Syrian leadership, Sana alleged.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2011\/09\/06\/world\/middleeast\/06damascus.html\">Life in Syria\u2019s Capital Remains Barely Touched by Rebellion<\/a><br \/>\n2011-09-06, By THE NEW YORK TIMES<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>DAMASCUS, Syria \u2014 As protests broke out across a restive Syria on a recent Sunday, and crowds were dispersed yet again by gunfire that left many dead, the conversation in the capital dwelled not on the uprising but rather on nails, along with the choice of polish and hair color and the latest in makeup trends.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI want either fuchsia or orange to match my dress,\u201d a woman in her 50s said as she rummaged through a box of nail polish in an upscale beauty salon in Damascus. \u201cEither one.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>It does not take long to realize that there is a disconnect between Damascus and the rest of Syria. With a mix of denial and fear, and occasionally even satisfaction at the government\u2019s determination to stanch dissent, many Damascenes insist on another reality. &#8230;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Homs is the scene of intense fighting. One Homsi writes, &#8220;Bullets and explosions heard heavily and simultaneous attacks on the police station and the political security buildings [are taking place.] Another writes: &#8220;Liberation forces are assembling around town.&#8221; There have been a growing number of military defections in the Homs and Rastan region, leading some [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sfsi_plus_gutenberg_text_before_share":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_show_text_before_share":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_icon_type":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_icon_alignemt":"","sfsi_plus_gutenburg_max_per_row":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[96],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11879","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-syria-revolution-2011"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Homs Intense Fighting; Bakkour Taken by Gov; Roadside Bomb Wounds 11 Soldiers; Defections - Syria Comment<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/joshualandis.com\/blog\/homs-intense-fighting-bakkour-taken-by-gov-roadside-bomb-wounds-11-soldiers-defections\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Homs Intense Fighting; Bakkour Taken by Gov; Roadside Bomb Wounds 11 Soldiers; Defections - Syria Comment\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Homs is the scene of intense fighting. One Homsi writes, &#8220;Bullets and explosions heard heavily and simultaneous attacks on the police station and the political security buildings [are taking place.] Another writes: &#8220;Liberation forces are assembling around town.&#8221; There have been a growing number of military defections in the Homs and Rastan region, leading some [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/joshualandis.com\/blog\/homs-intense-fighting-bakkour-taken-by-gov-roadside-bomb-wounds-11-soldiers-defections\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Syria Comment\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2011-09-07T19:57:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2011-09-08T00:34:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/latimesblogs.latimes.com\/.a\/6a00d8341c630a53ef01543531ed87970c-pi\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Joshua\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@joshua_landis\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@joshua_landis\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Joshua\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"26 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/joshualandis.com\/blog\/homs-intense-fighting-bakkour-taken-by-gov-roadside-bomb-wounds-11-soldiers-defections\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/joshualandis.com\/blog\/homs-intense-fighting-bakkour-taken-by-gov-roadside-bomb-wounds-11-soldiers-defections\/\",\"name\":\"Homs Intense Fighting; 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